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While Cuomo, a New Castle resident, still enjoys a 58-28 percent lead over Astorino, a Mount Pleasant resident, in a head-to-head race, his advantage has dwindled slightly since Siena's poll last month that had Cuomo out in front 61-26 percent.
The real game changer in this election, according to Siena, would be the addition of a Working Families Party candidate. Should the WFP back a candidate that is viewed as more liberal or progressive than Cuomo, the split becomes 39 percent for Cuomo and 24 percent each for Astorino and the WFP candidate.
“While Cuomo continues to hold a dominant position in a head-to-head matchup against Astorino, his lead is cut in half when a WFP candidate perceived to be more liberal or progressive than Cuomo is added to the mix,” Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg said in a statement. “More than 30 percent of Democrats, liberals, union households, New York City and black voters opt for a liberal WFP candidate. In a three-way race, independents are virtually evenly divided with 31 percent supporting Cuomo, 29 percent the WFP candidate and 27 percent Astorino."
The poll was conducted via telephone to 772 registered New York Voters between Saturday, April 12 and Thursday, April 17 with an overall margin of error of 3.5 percent.
Cuomo also enjoys a huge advantage over Astorino in favorability rating at 58-37 percent versus just 18-16 percent for the County Executive. It is worth noting, however that 66 percent of respondents had no opinion on Astorino, according to the Siena College poll.
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