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Paul Pastelok

Blockbuster Hurricane Season Could Be Coming: 'Serious, Growing Concerns,' Says Forecaster Blockbuster Hurricane Season Could Be Coming: 'Serious, Growing Concerns,' Says Forecaster
Blockbuster Hurricane Season Could Be Coming: 'Serious, Growing Concerns,' Says Forecaster The return of La Niña and historically warm water across the Atlantic Ocean have some forecasters sounding the alarm about what could be a super-charged 2024 hurricane season. Those two factors will set the groundwork for a potentially blockbuster season, and there are already “serious and growing concerns," AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter said. The season runs from Saturday, June 1 through Saturday, Nov. 30.  La Niña typically leads to more tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic due to reduced wind shear, or disruptive winds high in the atmosphere. "The …
Here's When To Expect Stormy Pattern In Weeks Ahead, New Long-Range Outlook Says Here's When To Expect Stormy Pattern In Weeks Ahead, New Long-Range Outlook Says
Here's When To Expect Stormy Pattern In Weeks Ahead, New Long-Range Outlook Says Punxsutawney Phil is about to return to his perch in Pennsylvania to decide whether there will be six more weeks of winter or an early spring.  But why wait until Groundhog Day on Friday morning, Feb. 2? AccuWeather.com released its 2024 US spring forecast late Wednesday, Jan. 31. Meteorological spring starts Friday, March 1, followed by the astronomical start on the equinox on Tuesday, March 19, and the long-range outlook calls for the possibility of storms leading into those dates. "It could come in like a lion in the East," AccuWeather Veteran Meteorologist and Long-Rang…
'Get Your Snow Shovels Ready': AccuWeather Releases Winter Outlook 'Get Your Snow Shovels Ready': AccuWeather Releases Winter Outlook
'Get Your Snow Shovels Ready': AccuWeather Releases Winter Outlook Forecasters for AccuWeather have released their projections for the winter of 2023-24. Senior Meteorologist Paul Pastelok and his team are saying it's shaping up to be much different than last winter, especially across the central and eastern United States, and one month may leave the biggest impression. "February can be an active and intense month," Pastelok said. One of the driving forces this winter will be the strengthening El Niño, which will play a significant role in the weather across the United States throughout the entire winter season.  Earlier report - 'Super'…
Dramatic Change In Weather Pattern Could Bring Some Snow To Parts Of Northeast Dramatic Change In Weather Pattern Could Bring Some Snow To Parts Of Northeast
Dramatic Change In Weather Pattern Could Bring Some Snow To Parts Of Northeast A summer preview with temperatures topping out around the upper 80s will be followed by a dramatic change in the weather pattern that will include scattered thunderstorms and then a chance for snow in some spots in the Northeast. Conditions will remain warm and dry Friday, April 14 with continued low relative humidity, with the high temperature in the mid to upper 80s, according to the National Weather Service. Temperatures will begin to plunge from west to east as an unsettled stretch begins on Saturday, April 15, which will be mostly cloudy with a high temperature in the mid-60s. Sh…
'Major Shift' In Jet Stream Will Lead To Big Change In Weather Pattern Heading Into New Year 'Major Shift' In Jet Stream Will Lead To Big Change In Weather Pattern Heading Into New Year
'Major Shift' In Jet Stream Will Lead To Big Change In Weather Pattern Heading Into New Year Relief is coming following the most bitterly cold stretch of Christmas-time weather in more than 30 years. After continued cold on Monday, Dec. 26, there will be a gradual day-by-day increase in temperatures, leading to a big change in the weather pattern heading into New Year's Eve. "A major shift in the jet stream will occur next week," AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Meteorologist Paul Pastelok said. "Instead of a massive dip in the jet stream that allows air from the North Pole to empty into the US, a more west-to-east jet pattern will develop and allow milder air from the Pacific to flow a…
After The Storm: Bitter Cold For Christmas Eve, Xmas Day Before Big Change In Weather Pattern After The Storm: Bitter Cold For Christmas Eve, Xmas Day Before Big Change In Weather Pattern
After The Storm: Bitter Cold For Christmas Eve, Xmas Day Before Big Change In Weather Pattern Let's hope Santa Claus is wearing an extra pair -- or two -- of long johns. That's because Christmas Eve and Christmas Day will be the coldest in decades. A powerful, massive storm that brought a mix of heavy rain, damaging winds, sleet, and snow, has now moved off the coast, but the passage of a cold front accompanying the system has led to a dramatic dip in temperatures. The wind-chill factor on Christmas Eve on Saturday morning, Dec. 24 is below zero degrees in most of the region. After a sunny start, clouds will increase during the day, but the high temperature will only be in the mid…
White Christmas? New Storm Could Bring Potentially Significant Snowfall To Much Of Region White Christmas? New Storm Could Bring Potentially Significant Snowfall To Much Of Region
White Christmas? New Storm Could Bring Potentially Significant Snowfall To Much Of Region Dreaming of a White Christmas? You may just get your wish thanks to a new storm system on track for the Northeast just before Christmas Day on Sunday, Dec. 25, according to the National Weather Service. "The potential blockbuster system will coincide with a massive outbreak of Arctic air that will send temperatures to bone-chilling levels through the holiday weekend," according to AccuWeather.com, "and could be one of the most intense and prolonged periods of frigid air in decades during Christmastime." According to the current projected track and timing, the system is due to arrive o…
AccuWeather Releases Winter Weather Outlook AccuWeather Releases Winter Weather Outlook
AccuWeather Releases Winter Weather Outlook Long-range forecasters for AccuWeather have just released their projections for the winter of 2022-23. Senior Meteorologist Paul Pastelok and his team are predicting La Niña will shape the weather patterns across the United States for the third straight year. That means less-than-average snowfall in much of the nation, including the Northeast, especially the southernmost part of the region. (See the first image above.) Earlier report - Old Farmer's Almanac Releases Outlook For Winter In Northeast In addition, the biggest blasts of cold air will hold off until later in the winter…
Newly Named Tropical Storm Ian Expected To Make Direct Hit On US As Major Hurricane Newly Named Tropical Storm Ian Expected To Make Direct Hit On US As Major Hurricane
Newly Named Tropical Storm Ian Expected To Make Direct Hit On US As Major Hurricane A newly named tropical storm could make a direct hit on the United States according to the latest forecast models. Tropical Depression Nine (known as #TD9) formed in the central Caribbean Friday morning, Sept. 23, and became Tropical Storm Ian on Friday night. Ian, the ninth named storm of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, is expected to strengthen to hurricane status and move north through Florida next week. The projected path for Tropical Storm Ian through next Saturday, Oct. 1 is shown in the image above from AccuWeather.com. The time frame for the arrival of tropical-storm-force win…
Will There Be More Snow Even Though Spring Has Sprung? Forecasters Say It's Possible Will There Be More Snow Even Though Spring Has Sprung? Forecasters Say It's Possible
Will There Be More Snow Even Though Spring Has Sprung? Forecasters Say It's Possible Spring has sprung, but we could see still some snowfall in the coming weeks, forecasters say. In fact, snowfall is possible for about two-thirds of the US during that, according to AccuWeather.com. Those areas, including this region, are shown in blue in the image above. Spring officially arrives at 11:33 a.m. on Sunday, March 20. The high temperature will be around 60 degrees Sunday as clouds increase during the day, according to the National Weather Service. There will be a slight chance of a shower in the evening. Monday, March 21 will be sunny with a high temperature in the upper 50s. …
Forecasters Size Up Chance Of November Snow As Cold Air Arrives From Canada Forecasters Size Up Chance Of November Snow As Cold Air Arrives From Canada
Forecasters Size Up Chance Of November Snow As Cold Air Arrives From Canada A change in the weather pattern will bring in the coldest air of the season, and as the air interacts with multiple storm systems, snow could develop as the calendar flips to November, according to AccuWeather.com forecasters. "Could we be talking about snow across parts of the Midwest and Northeast?” AccuWeather Chief On-Air Meteorologist Bernie Rayno said. “Maybe.” That comment, made on Thursday, Oct. 28, is consistent with an earlier forecast by AccuWeather's Senior Meteorologist Paul Pastelok who said more than a month ago that there could be  “a couple of rounds of cold …
Winter 2021-22 Forecast Released By NOAA National Weather Service Winter 2021-22 Forecast Released By NOAA National Weather Service
Winter 2021-22 Forecast Released By NOAA National Weather Service The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has just released its outlook for the winter of 2021-22.NOAA's National Weather Service forecasters are predicting cooler-than-average and wetter-than-average conditions in parts of the North with La Niña conditions once again predicted to shape part of the overall weather patterns this winter. For precipitation predictions for the upcoming season, see the first image above. Click here to see the complete NOAA winter outlook report. For a video look at NOAA's winter outlook, click here. Related story - Snow Joke: Get…
NOAA National Weather Service Releases Forecast For Winter 2021-22 NOAA National Weather Service Releases Forecast For Winter 2021-22
NOAA National Weather Service Releases Forecast For Winter 2021-22 The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has just released its outlook for the winter of 2021-22.NOAA's National Weather Service forecasters are predicting cooler-than-average and wetter-than-average conditions in parts of the North with La Niña conditions once again predicted to shape part of the overall weather patterns this winter. For precipitation predictions for the upcoming season, see the first image above. Click here to see the complete NOAA winter outlook report. For a video look at NOAA's winter outlook, click here. Related story - Snow Joke: Get…
Snow Joke: Get Set For 'One Of The Longest, Coldest Winters' In Years, New Forecast Says Snow Joke: Get Set For 'One Of The Longest, Coldest Winters' In Years, New Forecast Says
Snow Joke: Get Set For 'One Of The Longest, Coldest Winters' In Years, New Forecast Says A brand-new forecast for the winter of 2021-22 is calling for a “season of shivers,” with “positively bone-chilling, below-average temperatures." It's in the 230th edition of the Old Farmer's Almanac, which says it has an 80-percent accuracy rate with its weather forecasts. “This coming winter could well be one of the longest and coldest that we’ve seen in years,” Janice Stillman, editor of the Old Farmer’s Almanac, said. Most of the region will see a “cold, snowy” winter, according to the almanac's forecast graphic. (See the image above.) The Old Farmer's Almanac said it uses three scien…
New Summer 2021 Forecast Reveals When To Expect Frequent Storms, Hottest Stretch New Summer 2021 Forecast Reveals When To Expect Frequent Storms, Hottest Stretch
New Summer 2021 Forecast Reveals When To Expect Frequent Storms, Hottest Stretch Most associate summer with sun and fun. But it's also a season marked by severe weather, including storms, wildfires, extreme heat, and droughts. The first part of the summer will feature frequent thunderstorms across the Northeast, according to AccuWeather. Those storms in June and July will help ward off long-duration heat waves. (See first and second images above.) The hottest conditions of the summer will come in August, according to AccuWeather's lead long-range forecaster Paul Pastelok. “We could have a dry spell later in the summer that could spark some intense heat for a time,” P…
Here Are Areas That Will See Accumulating Snowfall From Storm System Here Are Areas That Will See Accumulating Snowfall From Storm System
Here Are Areas That Will See Accumulating Snowfall From Storm System Some parts of the region will see several inches of snowfall from a storm system that will sweep through the Northeast. The time frame for the storm is Friday night, Jan. 15 into Saturday, Jan. 16, with most of the region seeing mainly rain. Thursday, Jan. 14 started off with spotty rain and snow showers in some spots. The rest of the day will be mostly cloudy with the high temperature the low 40s, according to the National Weather Service. Friday will also be cloudy with a high temperature in the mid 40s. The storm system will arrive late Friday night, after around 10 p.m. Most…
Storm System Will Bring Mix Of Rain, Snow To Region: Here's What To Expect Storm System Will Bring Mix Of Rain, Snow To Region: Here's What To Expect
Storm System Will Bring Mix Of Rain, Snow To Region: Here's What To Expect A stretch of dry, seasonable weather will be coming to an end as a storm system bringing rain to most of the region and snowfall to interior locations moves through the Northeast. The time frame for the storm is Friday night, Jan. 15 into Saturday, Jan. 16. There will be variable cloudiness with temperatures a bit above normal in the days leading up to the storm, with the high temperature on both Wednesday, Jan. 13 and Thursday, Jan. 14 in the low 40s with mostly cloudy skies, according to the National Weather Service. Friday will also be cloudy with a high temperature in the mid…
Arctic Blast, New Storm Could Be Coming After Stretch Of Dry Days, Meteorologists Say Arctic Blast, New Storm Could Be Coming After Stretch Of Dry Days, Meteorologists Say
Arctic Blast, New Storm Could Be Coming After Stretch Of Dry Days, Meteorologists Say A stretch of dry days with temperatures a bit above normal are expected at least through this weekend. But soon after that, we could see an Arctic blast that may lead to a big winter storm. "Enjoy the 'warmth' while it lasts, because Old Man Winter is looking to return with a vengeance," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson said. AccuWeather Senior and Lead Long-Range Meteorologist Paul Pastelok, meanwhile, noted that "Many of the chips are beginning to line up to suggest we will see a shift of the polar vortex and an Arctic invasion across the central and eastern US and Canada…
AccuWeather Releases Winter Weather Outlook For Region AccuWeather Releases Winter Weather Outlook For Region
AccuWeather Releases Winter Weather Outlook For Region Long-range forecasters for AccuWeather have just released their projection for the winter of 2020-21. Senior Meteorologist Paul Pastelok said another overall mild winter is possible for much of the eastern United States. However, the entire season will not be mild all the way through in the Northeast. "Instead, the season will be bookended by cold and snowy conditions with a pause in the wintry weather in the middle of the season," AccuWeather said. For a look at the percentages of normal snowfall for the winter by region, see the first image above. Earlier report - Winter Weather …
Expect Snowy, Stormy Winter, AccuWeather Says Expect Snowy, Stormy Winter, AccuWeather Says
Expect Snowy, Stormy Winter, AccuWeather Says A new long-range forecast is calling for a snowy and stormy winter in the area. Despite a few cold spells across the Northeast during autumn, winter's chill won't arrive until at least the end of 2019, AccuWeather.com says. "I think you're going to see a touch of winter come in in December," AccuWeather Expert Long-Range Forecaster Paul Pastelok said. "But I think its full force will hold out until after the new year." Once the wintry weather gets underway, an active season will be in store, AccuWeather.com says. "Whether or not it's snowstorms, ice storms or mixed events, I do …
Major Storm Could Bring Significant Snowfall To Area Major Storm Could Bring Significant Snowfall To Area
Major Storm Could Bring Significant Snowfall To Area Click here for an updated story: Area Could See Foot Of Snow This Weekend After Separate Storm Brings Up To 3 Inches During Week After a decidedly un-January-like stretch of calm weather since the start of the new year, there's the potential for at least three winter storms in the final weeks of the month. The first such storm could a significant one,  with current path projections predicting its arrival in the tristate area from the central Plains this coming weekend. There's still uncertainty surrounding the strength and track of the storm, but one thing is not, accord…
El Niño Will Have Significant Impact On Winter Weather, New Forecast Says El Niño Will Have Significant Impact On Winter Weather, New Forecast Says
El Niño Will Have Significant Impact On Winter Weather, New Forecast Says El Niño will be back and it will have a significant impact on the winter weather pattern in the area. El Niño is a large-scale ocean-atmosphere climate interaction linked to a periodic warming in sea surface temperatures across the central and east-central Equatorial Pacific. What does that mean for us? In a nutshell, we will see warmer than average temperatures through the end of the calendar year and near normal snowfall for the entire winter, according to a new outlook for the winter released by AccuWeather. (See first image above.) There is one caveat. Colder weather will arrive in J…