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El Niño Now Forming Could Be 'Historically Strong': What It Means For Snowfall This Winter El Niño Now Forming Could Be 'Historically Strong': What It Means For Snowfall This Winter
El Niño Now Forming Could Be 'Historically Strong': What It Means For Snowfall This Winter An El Niño that is now forming could be "historically strong," according to forecasters. There is a 35 percent chance of it becoming "historically strong" for the November-January season, according to a brand-new update from the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center. El Niño events, which usually form every three to four years, are triggered by warmer surface water in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warmer water leading to stronger El Niños. The last time there was a "super" El Niño was 2015-2016. Traditionally, "super" El Niños have caused floods, fatal fires, and m…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
Winter 2023-24 Forecast Released By NOAA National Weather Service Winter 2023-24 Forecast Released By NOAA National Weather Service
Winter 2023-24 Forecast Released By NOAA National Weather Service The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service has just released its outlook for the winter of 2023-24.El Niño is in place heading into winter for the first time in four years, driving the outlook for warmer-than-average temperatures for the northern tier of the continental United States, according to NOAA’s US. Winter Outlook, which was released on Thursday, Oct. 19 by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service.  At the same time, the forecast says much of the Northeast has a 40 to 50 percent chance of above-normal…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
'Get Your Snow Shovels Ready': AccuWeather Releases Winter Outlook 'Get Your Snow Shovels Ready': AccuWeather Releases Winter Outlook
'Get Your Snow Shovels Ready': AccuWeather Releases Winter Outlook Forecasters for AccuWeather have released their projections for the winter of 2023-24. Senior Meteorologist Paul Pastelok and his team are saying it's shaping up to be much different than last winter, especially across the central and eastern United States, and one month may leave the biggest impression. "February can be an active and intense month," Pastelok said. One of the driving forces this winter will be the strengthening El Niño, which will play a significant role in the weather across the United States throughout the entire winter season.  Earlier report - 'Super'…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
'Super' El Niño Could Be Forming: What It Means For Snowfall, Temperatures This Winter 'Super' El Niño Could Be Forming: What It Means For Snowfall, Temperatures This Winter
'Super' El Niño Could Be Forming: What It Means For Snowfall, Temperatures This Winter The presence of El Niño this winter will have a significant impact on the type and frequency of weather to expect, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). El Niño events, which usually form every three to four years, are triggered by warmer surface water in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with warmer water leading to stronger El Niños. In a report released this week, NOAA said "El Niño is anticipated to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter," with a greater than 95 percent chance through January-March 2024. There's a 30-percent chance, accordin…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
Brace Yourself For An Active Hurricane Season, First Forecast For 2021 Says Brace Yourself For An Active Hurricane Season, First Forecast For 2021 Says
Brace Yourself For An Active Hurricane Season, First Forecast For 2021 Says We could be in for another active hurricane season, according to the first forecast for 2021. A total of 17 named storms, eight hurricanes, and four major hurricanes are predicted to develop in 2021, according to the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University. The 2021 hurricane season is now exhibiting characteristics similar to 1996, 2001, 2008, 2011, and 2017, said Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the department and author of the report detailing the forecast that can be viewed here. “The team predicts that 2021 hurricane activity will be about 140 p…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
Get Ready For A Wetter, More Unpredictable Winter, NOAA Says In Long-Range Forecast Get Ready For A Wetter, More Unpredictable Winter, NOAA Says In Long-Range Forecast
Get Ready For A Wetter, More Unpredictable Winter, NOAA Says In Long-Range Forecast The winter of 2019-20 should bring more precipitation than normal, while the absence of either El Niño or La Niña will result in greater unpredictability. That's the long-range forecast by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released on Thursday, Oct. 17, and covering December 2019 through February 2020. While the El Niño climate pattern often influences the winter, neutral conditions are in place for this winter and expected to persist into the spring. “Without either El Niño or La Niña conditions, short-term climate patterns like the Arctic Oscillation wi…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
Forecasters Now Predict More Frequent Storms In Final Months Of Hurricane Season Forecasters Now Predict More Frequent Storms In Final Months Of Hurricane Season
Forecasters Now Predict More Frequent Storms In Final Months Of Hurricane Season Government forecasters are now predicting an above-average final few months of hurricane season, with more frequent storms. The latest outlook comes after the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration had earlier forecast a normal season prior to its start in June. The Atlantic Ocean now has a 45-percent chance of experiencing an above-normal hurricane season, which ends Nov. 30, NOAA announced on Thursday, Aug. 8. The chance of below-normal activity has dropped to 20 percent. (See the second image above.) The end of El Niño has led to conditions more favorable for hurricane activity…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
Atlantic Hurricane Season Starts: Outlook For 2019 Revealed By US Forecasters Atlantic Hurricane Season Starts: Outlook For 2019 Revealed By US Forecasters
Atlantic Hurricane Season Starts: Outlook For 2019 Revealed By US Forecasters Between nine and 15 named storms, including includes tropical storms, are predicted to form in the Atlantic this year,  the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced on Friday, May 24. Hurricane season runs from Saturday, June 1 through Nov. 30. The outlook forecasts a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season, a 30 percent chance of an above-normal season and a 30 percent chance of a below-normal season.  Of the nine to 15 named storms (with winds of 39 mph or higher), four to eight could become hurricanes (with winds of 74 mph or higher), including two to…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
Weekend Snowstorm? System Will Move In After Midweek Gusty Winds Could Cause Power Outages Weekend Snowstorm? System Will Move In After Midweek Gusty Winds Could Cause Power Outages
Weekend Snowstorm? System Will Move In After Midweek Gusty Winds Could Cause Power Outages The winter has been marked so far by the El Niño effect. El Niño is a large-scale ocean-atmosphere climate interaction linked to a periodic warming in sea surface temperatures across the central and east-central Equatorial Pacific. It's resulted in warmer than average temperatures and below normal snowfall. But it's still January, so we are bound to see at least one storm soon, right? Seems likely, and there's a chance it could happen this weekend. But before then, we will see partly sunny and very windy days through the end of the workweek. Wind gusts of 30 to 40 could bring d…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
Winter Storm Will Bring Snow, Sleet, Rain To Area Winter Storm Will Bring Snow, Sleet, Rain To Area
Winter Storm Will Bring Snow, Sleet, Rain To Area The emergence of El Niño has resulted in a mild winter so far, bringing wetter conditions across the southern United States, and warmer, drier conditions to the north. El Niño is a large-scale ocean-atmosphere climate interaction linked to a periodic warming in sea surface temperatures across the central and east-central Equatorial Pacific. But even with the El Niño effect, it's still January and after a rainy Saturday and sunny Sunday, a storm system will bring a mix of snow, sleet and rain to the area on Monday night into early Tuesday morning. Mixed precipitation will arrive sometime af…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
National Weather Service's Winter Outlook Cites El Niño Factor: Here's What It Means For Us National Weather Service's Winter Outlook Cites El Niño Factor: Here's What It Means For Us
National Weather Service's Winter Outlook Cites El Niño Factor: Here's What It Means For Us We've heard from two farmers almanacs and AccuWeather. When it comes to predictions for the upcoming winter, the National Weather Service is now batting cleanup. The weather service is in agreement with projections by AccuWeather and the Old Farmer's Almanac that the Northeast is likely to see a mild winter with the now likely emergence of El Niño. El Niño is a large-scale ocean-atmosphere climate interaction linked to a periodic warming in sea surface temperatures across the central and east-central Equatorial Pacific. What does that mean for us? “We expect El Nino to be in place in lat…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
El Niño Will Have Significant Impact On Winter Weather, New Forecast Says El Niño Will Have Significant Impact On Winter Weather, New Forecast Says
El Niño Will Have Significant Impact On Winter Weather, New Forecast Says El Niño will be back and it will have a significant impact on the winter weather pattern in the area. El Niño is a large-scale ocean-atmosphere climate interaction linked to a periodic warming in sea surface temperatures across the central and east-central Equatorial Pacific. What does that mean for us? In a nutshell, we will see warmer than average temperatures through the end of the calendar year and near normal snowfall for the entire winter, according to a new outlook for the winter released by AccuWeather. (See first image above.) There is one caveat. Colder weather will arrive in J…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
Will Winter Weather Be Dire Or Mild? Depends On Which Of These Two Forecasts You Believe Will Winter Weather Be Dire Or Mild? Depends On Which Of These Two Forecasts You Believe
Will Winter Weather Be Dire Or Mild? Depends On Which Of These Two Forecasts You Believe Want an early read on how harsh the winter of 2018-19 will be? There are already two long-range forecasts out, but they are hardly in agreement. To say the least. One was released by the Farmers' Almanac, the other by the more well-known Old Farmer's Almanac. The Farmers' Almanac, which says it bases its prediction on a "mathematical and astronomical formula," is calling for a "cold & white" winter in the Northeast with above-average snowfall. (See image above.) The winter outlook by the Old Farmer's Almanac, in existence since 1792, calls for "warm, wet"…

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by Joe Lombardi
Weather
Active Hurricane Season Predicted By NOAA Active Hurricane Season Predicted By NOAA
Active Hurricane Season Predicted By NOAA With the start of hurricane season just a day away, there is a 75-percent chance that the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season will be near- or above-normal, according to a new report released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center. Forecasters predict a 35 percent chance of an above-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season, and a 25 percent chance of a below-normal season for the upcoming hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30. “With the advances made in hardware and computing over the course of the last year, the abi…

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by Joe Lombardi